Guinea’s growth momentum continues and medium-term outlook is favourable – says IMF

Sierra Leone Telegraph: 22 December 2018:

Yesterday, 21st December 2018, the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) completed its second review of Guinea’s economic performance, under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement.

Completion of this review enables the immediate disbursement of about US$23.9 million, bringing total disbursements under the arrangement to about US$71.6 million).

The Board also approved the authorities’ request for modification and a waiver of non-observance of a performance criterion.

Two weeks ago, IMF approved a three-year ECF of about US$167.2 million for Guinea, estimated at 56.25 percent of the country’s quota.

The IMF says that the ECF arrangement it has agreed with the Guinean authorities, is aimed at strengthening resilience, scaling-up public investment in infrastructure while preserving stability, strengthening social safety nets, and promoting private sector development.

Following the IMF Executive Board’s discussion on Guinea, Mr. Tao Zhang, Acting Chair and Deputy Managing Director, issued the following statement:

“Guinea is implementing a program of macroeconomic policies and reforms to achieve high and broad-based growth and reduce poverty while preserving macroeconomic stability. Performance under the ECF-supported program against end-June targets was satisfactory and program-supported reforms advanced well.

“In view of revenue shortfalls, the authorities have undertaken additional measures to achieve the end-2018 fiscal target. The strong growth momentum continues, and the medium-term outlook is favorable.

“Achieving a basic fiscal surplus will support preserving macroeconomic stability. Mobilizing additional tax revenues will allow scaling-up growth-supporting infrastructure investment. The authorities also aim to reduce untargeted electricity subsidies and have an automatic adjustment mechanism for petroleum prices. Attention to the social impact of these planned reforms will be important, including by strengthening social safety nets.

“Prudent debt management will be crucial to maintaining debt sustainability. Limiting non-concessional borrowing and enhancing public finance and investment management will help preserve debt sustainability and support efficiency and transparency.

“A more active strategy to accumulate reserves will help build external buffers and strengthen Guinea’s resilience to shocks. Increasing competition in the foreign exchange market and moving to a rule-based intervention strategy will also support greater exchange rate flexibility.

“Monetary policy will remain prudent to preserve moderate inflation. The authorities will continue to limit government budgetary borrowing from the central bank and move toward a more active liquidity management. Strengthening banking supervision and the regulatory framework will support financial sector stability.

“The authorities are committed to advancing growth-supporting structural reforms. Strengthening the anti-corruption framework and the business climate will enhance governance and support private sector development.”

Two weeks ago, the IMF approved a new ECF with the government of Sierra Leone amounting to about $172 million to help build resilience and improve economic performance.

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