The people of Sierra Leone will in the next few weeks be saying goodbye to president Koroma, who has ruled the country for over ten years. Presidential and general elections will be held on March 7, 2018, and his handpicked heir to his throne – Dr Samura Kamara, is facing stiff opposition from Dr kandeh Yumkella of the NGC party and Julius Maada Bio of the SLPP.
But will the changing of the guards at State House bring much needed economic prosperity and democratic gains? Sierra Leone is facing economic meltdown. The IMF have recently suspended their $240 million loan to the Koroma government, after the government failed to meet its loan repayment condition and a massive decline in revenue generation.
Corruption is at an all-time high, and public sector workers have not been paid for several months. With elections just two weeks away, already there are reports of political violence in parts of the country.
Koroma will be joining other African leaders whose term of office have either expired, or simply booted out of office by the people, through the ballot box. So the question being asked is: As Africa waves some of its leaders goodbye, is the democratic deficit getting any narrower?
As Mohamed M Diatta writes in theconversation.com: “At a time when Africa has seen a few long-standing leaders exit, the issue of change in power is occupying minds of citizens as well as those in leadership positions.”
Mohamed also concludes that: “Stability in several countries will indubitably be jeopardised in 2018 if some governments do not deliver free and fair elections. Similarly, undertaking constitutional changes that contradict the rule of law, the separation of powers and don’t uphold political agreements, will further entrench instability.”
This is Mohamed M Diatta’s report:
In spite of their varied repertoire of tactics to remain in power, no one is immune to the wave of change in leadership that has led many African presidents to lose their coveted top job.
Whether through elections, succession battles, coups or end of terms in office it has become a question of when and how they will exit. That’s if one is not too concerned with what comes afterwards. Though it is too early to tell whether meaningful changes can be expected, cases such as Zimbabwe suggest that its citizens can envisage more of the same.
Nevertheless, a review of developments in 2017 shows that it was a fruitful year for those advocating change. Examples include the Gambia where Adama Barrow came in as a promising new leader. Angola’s Joao Manuel Lourenço rose to power and immediately replaced some top public servants, raising hopes that he might champion good governance, although there hasn’t been an overhaul of the system.
In any case, the arrival of a ‘new’ leader in power always brings optimism for change and constitutes an opportunity for new beginnings.
A nuisance to his Senegalese neighbour and an embarrassment to his peers in the subregional body, he was eventually pushed out by the Economic Community of West African States, ending his 22-year rule. He has since been in exile in Equatorial Guinea.
Zimbabwe provided the finale to an eventful year when, in a battle for succession, Robert Mugabe was forced out by a faction of his ZANU-PF with the help the Zimbabwean Defense Forces. Emmerson Mnangagwa, his long-time ally, and vice-president, took over the country. Mnangagwa has announced that elections this year will be ‘free and fair’. He is expected to retain power and his ZANU-PF to keep control of the national assembly.
Different fortunes
Rwanda, Kenya and Liberia all presented tales of different presidential fortunes.
In the three emblematic cases of ‘handover’ – Angola, Zimbabwe and The Gambia – it’s difficult to say whether the democratic deficit is less serious today. But if ZANU-PF and the MPLA don’t renew themselves, systems that don’t have a stellar record in the rule of law and good governance departments could easily be perpetuated.
Gambians, for their part, can hope that the coming to power of a novice in politics will bring them a better life.
Ensuring democratic and good governance, free and fair elections, and peaceful transitions to power are no longer optional.
Stability in several countries will indubitably be jeopardised in 2018 if some governments do not deliver free and fair elections. Similarly, undertaking constitutional changes that contradict the rule of law, the separation of powers and don’t uphold political agreements, will further entrench instability. From this point of view, Africa’s regional organisations will have to manage the post-electoral crises from previous years – including Kenya – and try and prevent those on the horizon this year.
The African Union must, more than ever, have all its member states sing to the tune of democracy. This can be facilitated by a reform of the organisation. But this, in turn, hinges on the political will of those who will have to endorse the necessary changes. Unfortunately, they remain, for the moment, the guardians of the old order.
About the author
Mohamed M Diatta is a Ph.D. Candidate and Lecturer in Political Science-International Relations, Sciences Po – USPC.
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